![]() ![]() Instead, he completed 72.7 percent of them, a rate 14.2 percentage points higher than expected. Based on Next Gen Stats’ completion probability metric, which looks at factors including receiver separation, pass air distance and QB pressure to calculate the rate at which an average signal-caller would complete a given pass, we would expect Rodgers to have completed just 58.6 percent of his passes Sunday - third-lowest among qualified QBs. 3 In 2019, 50.7 percent of Rodgers’s throws were to receivers with at least 3 yards of separation from the nearest defender on Sunday, that share was just 45.5 percent.īut Rodgers did more with what he had to work with on Sunday. 2 Nor did his receivers suddenly start getting open at a higher rate: According to the NFL’s Next Gen Stats, Rodgers’s targets had an average separation of 3.11 yards from their nearest defender per attempt at the arrival of the pass, down from 3.68 yards last year. Much was made over the offseason about the Packers’ lack of upgrade at receiver, and Rodgers’s top targets against Minnesota were little changed from last year’s list, aside from the absences of tight end Jimmy Graham (who was released in March) and receiver Geronimo Allison (who signed with the Detroit Lions). QB Elo ratings are based on passing and rushing performance, adjusted for the quality of opposing defense. Rodgers was as good as he’d been in a long timeīest games of Aaron Rodgers’s NFL career according to FiveThirtyEight’s quarterback Elo ratings, relative to an average starter Date So much for the narrative about his best days passing him by - for now, at least. When you write him off as being past his prime, he might just respond with a game like Sunday’s vintage performance - 364 yards, 73 percent of passes completed, four touchdowns and zero interceptions - against the Minnesota Vikings.Īccording to our quarterback Elo ratings, 1 Rodgers on Sunday had the best QB game (relative to league average) of Week 1, the sixth-best game of his career and his second-best game since 2010. As Danny Heifetz of The Ringer wrote in August, the perception of Rodgers sitting on top of the QB world looked like it needed some refreshing.īut Rodgers is sneaky. The reason: Rodgers’s stats, routinely off-the-charts when he was younger, have been more average of late - and so have the Packers’ offenses. An annual rite of recent autumns has been to wonder whether Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers truly belongs among the game’s elite signal-callers anymore. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |